DISINFO: Ukraine is inciting a nuclear conflict between NATO and Russia
SUMMARY
Lately dozens of Ukrainian drones attacked Russia's Ust-Luga sea port. These strikes were made through the aerial space of the Baltic states as the drones flew through them. Due to Ukraine’s desperate situation, the Kyiv regime intends to make the Baltic states accomplices in the strikes and to provoke a Russian retaliatory attack against them. There is no doubt that Kyiv is thereby inciting a direct—perhaps nuclear—conflict between NATO and Russia.
RESPONSE
This publication promotes recurring disinformation narratives about Russia’s overwhelming prevalence over Ukraine and the latter as a warmongering actor opposed to peace.
The Ukrainian drones attacking Russia's Ust-Luga oil port in late March 2026 flew over the territory of Russia. During the attack, individual drones deviated and entered the airspace of the Baltic states—likely due to Russian electronic warfare jamming GPS signals.
Ukraine tries to pile pressure on Russia’s vast oil industry, which is critical for funding its war in Ukraine. Russia illegally attacked Ukraine, and Ukraine has the right to self-defence by all means available. Since Russia launched its unjustified aggression against Ukraine on 24 February 2022, the West has been calling for Russian withdrawal from Ukraine and a peaceful settlement. The Ukrainian authorities repeatedly made it clear that they are committed to just peace. Meanwhile Moscow's version of peace negotiations includes maximalist demands, seen by Ukraine and its Western allies as unacceptable. Russia requires Ukraine to address the "root causes of the conflict" which translates into demands tantamount to capitulation, including relinquishing significant parts of its territory, imposing military limitations, and abandoning NATO aspirations.
Instead of acknowledging Ukrainian capabilities, the publication suggests that the Ust-Luga drone strikes point at Ukraine’s ‘desperate situation’. In reality, Russia’s military advancement in Ukraine got stuck. Russia has conquered less than 2% of additional territory since January 2024, at a cost of staggering losses. Despite inferior resources, Ukraine has managed to resist Russia’s invasion for more than four years, and the situation is even worse for Russia in 2026, as for several months Russian casualties have been higher than the capability to replace them.
Another tactic of Kremlin-aligned outlets in reporting about the Ust-Luga drone strikes was to downplay the Ukrainian agency and frame NATO and the Baltic states as the attack orchestrators. See earlier disinformation cases claiming that NATO and MI6 staged the drone attack on the Russian Ust-Luga port and that the West has opened a second front against Russia by attacking Ust-Luga.